Live betting. I wait for my team to lose.

Let’s talk real betting again. This time I want to talk about live betting. Live betting is, I would say, my favorite kind of betting nowadays, because of all the problems with bookie limits, accounts, so on and so on. Live betting does allow you to bet more. The reason is, the bookies feel that when the game comes already closer to the start and starting, the line, the handicap, the odds is, as they think about it, settled. What it means is, usually, they open the line and, again, that’s the topic of a different conversation, but the line moves.

The line moves based on news, opinions, money, so on and so on. So, normally, normally, for most of the bookies, in normal situations, in normal games, the closer you get to the start, the higher is the limit. Then, then, it translates into live. It’s not a guarantee that live, the single click max bet will be bigger than pre-game max bet. no, in many leagues it’s the opposite, but many bookies, if not most, live allow you to make many clicks, and every click has its own max bet.

So, and it’s a different situation in the game, you can take many different bets, many different handicaps, so on and so on. So, my point is, live betting is a nice way to be able to bet more normally. And let me stress this one more time. That, uh, everything I’m talking about is, uh, it works only for people who know what they’re doing.

Because betting, unfortunately, is very difficult and most of the people will lose. So, if you haven’t started betting, my advice is very simple and always, don’t even start. If you are already betting and if you are somewhat comfortable in betting, and I’m talking mostly about basketball betting, live is a good way to be able to bet more, plus live, of course, if you follow the game, if you watch or you don’t even have to watch, if you follow the stats, you can find very nice opportunities that bookies simply don’t know.

For example, the bookies, when they offer some game in some league, unless it’s NBA or something like that, they don’t know if a player was disqualified, ejected in the first quarter even, they don’t know that, they don’t care about that mostly. So, if you know that, you can have the advantage, the edge. And a disqualifying foul is just one example.

And that’s the way I bet, and that’s why I built my jjB!B software. I don’t have to watch the games, I don’t have to watch the stats, I don’t have to have 20 tabs in my browser open to follow all the games at the same time. The software does it for me and it sends me alerts when signals, when something worth my attention happens. And then I make my decision. But that’s a different topic also.

So, live betting. I like it. And what I do is, the game starts and I know that I like, I think that in this game my team will win. And my team is a favorite to start with. It can have minus 5, it can have minus 7, minus 10, minus 3.5 even. As I told you in one of the previous podcasts, I don’t like these handicaps.

I like my team to fight for my bet in the end. They don’t care if they win by 5, or by 6, or by 2, or by 3. In the end, they want only to win. There are some exceptions, but they’re rare. So, if my team has a handicap of minus 5.5, normally I would not bet them. In pre-game, I feel like it’s too risky for me. So, what I do is, I wait live.

And then what I do in live? In live, I wait for them to start losing. If the handicap is minus 3.5, all it takes is like one, two baskets in the beginning. And you can take your bet. I can take minus 2 with one basket in most of the cases.

So, instead of taking minus 3.5 pre-game, I will take minus 2 live. And if they are losing during the game more than 2, 3, 4 points, I can get money line at good odds. I can even get pluses if they’re losing more. And if I believe the team is better, if I believe they will win, and if nothing has changed, if jjB!B didn’t send me any alerts that they are missing players, or players fouled out, or something like that, or somebody is injured, then nothing has changed for me.

Because first quarter score doesn’t really matter for them in the end. Second quarter score doesn’t really matter for them in the end. And I believe that better teams find ways to win. And in many, many, many, many cases, it’s very, very frequent, and better teams can start losing in games. Why?

Because they know they’re better. So, they are complacent. You know, they think, ah, we don’t have to give our 100%, we’ll give 50% and still beat these guys. And the other guys are on the contrary, they know that they are worse, so they try to play 110%. And then, a couple of lucky shots, it’s basketball, anybody can score from a half-court, give them the ball a thousand times, they will score in the end, probably, anybody, most of them. So, anything can happen, they, worse teams can be winning the whole game and lose in the end.

Of course, worse teams also win the games, that’s not the point. The point is that this, you know, graph up, graph down, plus 5, minus 10, plus 15, it’s very common. And I like that. I wait for my team to start losing and then I take much better lines, much better handicaps, much better odds on the money line. That’s why I like live betting. Of course, I need to be sure that nothing has changed or that the changes in my opponent’s team are worse than the changes in my team.

That’s why I created jjB!B to get all the information quick, to get it at scale and 20 games at the same time, for example. So, I don’t have to follow them. That’s why live betting is the best for me, because I have access to this information quick. Anybody can have access, but you have to have 20 hands and 15 eyes, let’s say.

Or maybe 16, 14, doesn’t matter. The point is, I like live betting because I don’t like taking these handicaps that are greater than even 3, minus 3 I don’t like. So, I would rather skip that game or wait for live and take a good handicap for me, which is minus 2 or minus 1 ideally, plus 1, money line. That’s my philosophy and I’ve been doing it for a long time. And that’s what I believe in.

Again, try this at home, only if you know what you’re doing. If you just want to get into betting and you’re listening to this, my advice as always, DON’T EVEN START.