Even the best bet can lose.

I want to touch a somewhat sensitive topic, betting, that some people will not like, but I have to admit that I use sometimes harsh words about the players. I can call them idiots or even worse. Just to explain you what I mean by this is, what I mean is that any bet, no matter how good it is, how statistically sound it is, how informationally correct it is, it can lose.

It can lose because of lots of factors. One of these factors is the players. And the fact that they can often be idiots. Let me use harsh word like that again. Yes, they can be idiots and it’s very normal in sports because it is sports, it’s not rocket science and it’s not, they’re not like master degree students over there doing scientific research.

They’re sports people. They’re sports people and you don’t have to be very smart to be a good sportsman. Fortunately, but that’s the truth. I feel it’s the truth. And sometimes these players can do stupid things. And I’m not talking about some physically derived alterations of their performance, you know, they don’t score, they shoot 23 pointers and they don’t score. No, that’s normal. No, that’s normal. I mean, sometimes they can do like really, really stupid stuff. And you can look up in my JJ clips.

I posted one clip with something that happened. And two situations on the same night in women’s college basketball in the USA, which is a pretty high level for women basketball. And the probability of one thing happening like that is like, by my calculations, one in 20 or 30,000 games. You can find situation like that. What I’m talking about an own goal in basketball. And I’m not talking about accidental rebound, tip-in or whatever, or scramble and then the ball goes up accidentally.

It goes into their own basket. I’m talking about real stupid thing. When the players get disoriented and they actually drive and shoot into their own basket and then they celebrate. Because they think that the basket is opponent’s basket. You can laugh all you want, but this thing is real. So, this happens now and then, once in about 20,000 plus games, it happens. And recently, recently, it happened in two games on the same night. And the probability of that is crazy, crazy low.

I mean, you can be watching one game every day of your life and you would never catch something like that. So, check out that clip. It’s like the craziest thing you will ever see. The players celebrate and then they realize that they scored into their own basket. It’s very crazy. Imagine in football somebody scoring. Actually, I saw something like that years ago in hockey. I think in the World Cup.

I don’t remember the team. Maybe Austria, maybe Austria or something like a long time ago, but that’s not the point. I mean, it’s not a good thing to call people stupid, but the actions are stupid. Let’s, let’s say, let’s say like that. The actions are really stupid and, well, what that is, is, I guess, a psychological break, mental breakdown. They just forget for a second and they try to score in their own basket.

So, my point is, the main point. You can have the best bet in the world, but it’s the players who decide if your bet wins or loses. Most of the time it’s the players. Sometimes, and I will talk about that too, and I will show you clips and everything. Sometimes it can be the refs who decide. And the refs are people too, and they make mistakes too.

Sometimes, unfortunately, and it’s a proven fact, documented, it can be the criminals who decide who wins the games. They manipulate the results, they fix the results, as they say, they pay money for some things to happen on the field. And you can actually have an article on the website where a member of my team spotted a game like that in Brazil.

And a year later news came out that players who played in that game got suspended by the International Basketball Federation because of exactly that, match manipulation and betting. So, sometimes, that can decide. Sometimes, weird stuff can happen and, you know, the basketball court can decide. That’s a real possibility too. Sometimes, the weather can decide. Because, you know, the bookies have the rules that the game has to play most of them, most of the bookies. Like 35 plus minutes and the result stands.

So, let’s say your game is playing, your team starts catching up and they’re doing really, really well. The other team is like, many players have five fouls and you’re absolutely sure you will win. And then, the electricity goes out. The game is suspended, minute 36. Your team is losing one point and they actually have three free throws coming up. But the light goes out right before that. The game is suspended, it’s not played the next day. And bingo! Your bet is lost by the rules of the bookies.

If the match is not played in 24 hours, they take the result if 35 plus minutes have been played in a FIBA game. So, again, no matter how good your bet is, you can lose it. Not because of the quality of the bet, not because of the information or whatever. But because some other factors come in. Most of the time it’s the players, most of the time. And I will try to have many, many clips of the things they do on the field.

Most of them stupid, unfortunately, for these clips to exist. But anyways, just think about it and make sure you understand. Even the best bet can lose. It doesn’t mean you did something wrong. Somebody else did. Not all the time, but it can happen. But again, if you are betting, you can use this and take advantage of the fact that you don’t have to You don’t have to be very bad on yourself if your bets lose, because sometimes there is nothing you can do.

But if you just want to get into betting and you want to start, you want to try it out, my advice is always the same. DON’T EVEN START.